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Factors influencing farmers' decision-making for adapting to climate change in the Jiroft Plain
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Saeed Barkhori *    |
| Assistant Professor, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Jiroft, Kerman, Iran Email: barkhoris98@gmail.com |
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Abstract: (165 Views) |
| Climate change and its consequences constitute a global challenge, which countries such as Iran are also facing. The agricultural sector, due to its dependence on natural resources, is most affected by this phenomenon. Therefore, the application of climate change adaptation strategies is an inevitable necessity for all elements of the agricultural sector. Among these, the decision-making process of farmers regarding adaptation to climate change is significant to sustain the country's food security. This study aimed to develop a socio-psychosocial model of farmers' decision-making for adapting to climate change in the Jiroft Plain. The study population consisted of 30,633 farmers, with a sample size of 379 determined using Cochran's formula. First, a theoretical model of farmers' adaptation decision-making in response to climate change was developed by combining Protection Motivation Theory (PMT)—including climate change assessment, adaptation assessment, and maladaptation—and adaptive capacity factors such as social capital variables, financial potential, and human capital. The model was then evaluated using field data. Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) was used to estimate the model. Findings showed that PMT variables mediate the effect of adaptive capacity variables on farmers' adaptation decision-making. Additionally, the adaptation assessment variable was identified as the highest priority by importance-performance analysis. The results indicate that if farmers in the Jiroft Plain acquire knowledge-based conviction about the strategies, costs, and effectiveness of climate change adaptation, they will more easily overcome mental-social constraints and make adaptation decisions. |
Article number: 7 |
| Keywords: Adaptation, Behavioral Theory, Climate Change, Farmers, South Kerman |
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Full-Text [PDF 1548 kb]
(63 Downloads)
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Type of Study: Research |
Subject:
General
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